
Dairy farmers faced a December 20 deadline to enroll in the 2020 Dairy Margin Coverage program after the USDA extended it by a week. The US-China phase one trade deal, announced December 13, could affect both feed costs and milk income but its details were not yet available.
Phase one is expected to be signed in early January.
Changes to feed costs and export access for dairy could shift milk production and feed purchasing decisions in 2020. Until the deal's terms are published, the price effect on milk and feed remains uncertain.
After 18 past neutral trade events, MILK moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -2.9% to +1.1%), and -3.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.