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Pro Farmer expected grain and soybean futures to open mostly lower after another week of disappointing export sales. Outside markets were negative, with crude oil about $1 lower and the dollar index higher, while the U.S. debt-limit standoff continued and Fitch placed the U.S. AAA rating on watch negative.
Dozens of ships were stalled near Istanbul under the Black Sea grain deal inspection process.
Weak export sales and a stronger dollar pressure grain prices, while Black Sea shipment delays add some logistics-driven uncertainty to wheat and corn supply.
profarmer.comBrian GreteMay 25, 2023After 359 past bearish logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 297 past bearish logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.8%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 137 past bearish logistics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.0%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 11 past bearish logistics events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.8% to +0.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
