
UFOP expects biodiesel production from soybean and palm oils to rise in North and South America and Southeast Asia. The feedstock mix in 2019 was virtually unchanged from 2017, at 35% palm oil and 26% soybean oil.
Rapeseed oil became much more expensive than palm and soybean oil, widening the price gap.
Rising biodiesel feedstock demand for palm and soybean oil tightens vegetable oil supplies and supports prices, while the high rapeseed premium may shift demand toward cheaper oils.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.