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StoneX analyst Josh Linville expects phosphate prices to rise in coming weeks or months. He cites Chinese export blocks, which cover about 32% of global phosphate trade, very low Indian stockpiles, low North American inventories, and possible Russian export restrictions.
With China restricting exports and Indian and North American stocks thin, phosphate supply is tight, and prices could climb further if fall demand is strong.
stonex.comJosh LinvilleNov 1, 2021stonex.comJosh LinvilleNov 1, 2021After 480 past neutral trade events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Dated the same day as the move, the analyst commentary points to tight phosphate supply (Chinese export blocks covering about 32% of global trade, low Indian and North American stocks, possible Russian restrictions), a bullish supply and sentiment driver that plausibly contributed to the DAP jump, though it is a forecast and not a discrete shock.
