
Argentine agribusiness closed 2019 with positive results, as the central zone avoided the drought that hit the 2017/18 crop. The 2018/19 grain harvest totalled 142 Mt, up 46% year on year, and soybean exports in the last eleven months of 2019 rose 5.8% in value while prices fell 6.7%.
Argentine soybean exports benefited from the US-China trade war.
Strong Argentine supply and exports during the US-China dispute have competed with US soybean sales, which weighs on world soy prices. The price decline also signals softer export values.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.