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Oil posted a record weekly jump on hopes that global producers would agree historic output cuts at a meeting the following week. Optimism was tempered by concern that the cuts would not prevent a supply glut.
Saudi Arabia was set to hold a members' video conference on Monday.
Expectations of large output cuts support crude prices, which feed into energy and input costs for feed. Doubts about whether cuts will offset weak demand limit the sustainability of the rally.
bloomberg.comCatherine NgaiApr 2, 2020After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, WTI moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, BRENT moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Record weekly jump on hopes of historic output cuts at the following week's meeting, directly describing the weekly move.
Record weekly jump on hopes of historic output cuts at the next week's meeting directly reflects the move.
Record weekly jump on hopes of historic output cuts at a following-week meeting, sustaining the rally.
Notes record jump on hopes of historic output cuts at an upcoming meeting, reinforcing the supply-cut expectation driver.
Covers the record jump on hopes of an OPEC+ output cut meeting and the Saudi video conference, reinforcing the supply-cut sentiment.
