
Wesfarmers' WesCEF division lifted fiscal 2026 earnings 18.5% to A$473 million, driven by higher fertilizer and spodumene prices. Its second-half fertilizer business weakened as the Middle East conflict raised import costs and disrupted supply.
CSBP responded by raising local output, diversifying sourcing and building inventory.
Supply disruption and elevated import costs kept fertilizer prices high in the second half, and continued exposure to supply shocks in fiscal 2027 supports nitrogen input costs for feed producers.
After 205 past bullish geopolitics events, Urea moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.0%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.