
ABARES pegged Australia's 2019-20 wheat production at 15.17 million tonnes, the lowest in 12 years and down from its December forecast of 15.85Mt. The USDA expects world wheat exports to fall for a third straight year.
Australia has seen production decline sharply during three straight drought years.
A shrinking Australian crop and falling global exports tighten wheat supplies available to feed buyers and support prices. The trend points to continued firmness in wheat values.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.