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The Canadian dollar is being pushed lower by the Russia-Saudi oil price war, which has caused a price collapse, and the loonie has re-linked to crude on the downside. Scott Barlow notes that the currency is tracking oil and bond yield spreads.
The article shows charts of the loonie, Western Canadian Select crude and copper.
Oil's slide and the loonie's weakness weigh on Canadian export revenue and farm input prices. The link between the two means that oil moves will continue to drive currency-related cost swings.
theglobeandmail.comScott BarlowMar 17, 2020Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
