Loading…
Argentine farmers are unhappy with a government increase in soy export taxes, which is expected to make them hold beans. The Brazilian real weakened to around 5 per dollar, which may lead Brazilian farmers to hold supplies as a hedge.
Soybean futures were higher on the week.
Farmer holding in Argentina and Brazil tightens South American export availability, supporting US soybean prices and export demand.
brownfieldagnews.comMark DorenkampMar 20, 2020After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 16 past bullish trade events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Argentine farmers are expected to hold beans over export taxes and Brazilian farmers over the weak real, restricting South American farmer selling and supporting futures.
