
The rand steadied at 18.84 per dollar early Tuesday, but traders expected pressure to persist after US crude futures plunged below zero for the first time. South African cabinet discussions on Covid-19 economic measures were awaited.
South Africa has the most confirmed cases in sub-Saharan Africa.
Oil-driven risk aversion hits emerging-market currencies, which raises the cost of dollar-priced feed imports for South African buyers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.