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Nordea revised its USD/CNY forecast to 7.15 on a three-month horizon, citing elevated coronavirus uncertainty and safe-haven capital flows. The bank expects the direction of the pair to be driven mainly by global risk sentiment.
It also expects the PBoC to keep supporting the yuan through verbal intervention and a stronger daily fixing.
A weaker yuan forecast implies dearer dollar-priced imports for Chinese feed buyers, which could slow purchases of US and Brazilian feed commodities. The impact on prices is modest.
octaafrica.netApr 2, 2020After 398 past bullish macro events, USDCNY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
