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The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate target at 0.25 percent, the effective lower bound, and announced new measures to support the financial system. It described a sudden, deep contraction in activity and employment caused by COVID-19 and noted that lower oil prices and a weaker Canadian dollar have added pressure.
Near-zero rates and a weaker loonie can lift the cost of imported feed inputs for Canadian buyers, while weak oil prices reduce energy-linked demand across commodities.
bankofcanada.caMedia RelationsApr 15, 2020Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
