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Maxum Foods and Cornell economist Andrew Novakovic say COVID-19 lockdowns are shifting dairy demand away from cheese and hitting small farms and processors hard. Specialty cheese plants are closing while cheddar plants are full and fluid milk sales are expected to rise 10-15%.
Weaker foodservice-driven cheese demand and rising surplus milk are bearish for milk prices, with downside risk for dairy-based feed ingredients like whey and DDGS demand.
foodprocessing.com.auApr 8, 2020After 49 past bearish macro events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -8.5% to +0.6%), and -7.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
