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Drought and fires in Australia have reduced its breeding herd and slaughter, cutting the supply of beef available for import into the US. Packers have responded by grinding higher-value cuts for domestic ground beef, widening the price gap between imported and domestic 90% lean trimmings.
Tighter Australian supply lifts imported lean trim costs and supports US cattle and beef values as packers shift cuts into grinding. Buyers should expect firm cattle prices while the import gap persists.
cap.unl.eduApr 22, 2020After 80 past bullish weather events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -0.8% to +1.3%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
