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CattleFax said cattle producers should see favorable prices and profitability in 2023, as drought left the industry with its smallest cattle supply since 2015. Forecasters expect La Niña to fade, with neutral conditions and possibly El Niño later in the year.
Improved weather could ease feed costs in the second half of 2023.
A small supply of cattle supports prices, while expected drought relief could lower feed costs and widen cow-calf margins. The weather outlook is a key factor for pasture and feed supply.
drovers.comFeb 3, 2023After 80 past bullish weather events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -0.8% to +1.3%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 79 past bullish weather events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.7%), and +1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
