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Drought is driving beef cow herd liquidation at the fastest pace since 1984, with beef cow slaughter up 14.7% year over year. Drought continues to push feeder cattle and calves into feedlots, adding to fed cattle and beef supply through early 2023.
La Niña is expected to keep the Central Plains and western Corn Belt dry into a third winter.
Reduced cow herds tighten future beef supply, supporting fed cattle prices toward the mid-$150 range. Rising corn and soybean costs and reduced hay production raise feeding costs for producers.
terrainag.comDave WeaberNov 2, 2022After 80 past bullish weather events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -0.8% to +1.3%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
