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The euro rallied to a more than two-month high near 1.11 against the dollar following news of a 750 billion euro EU recovery fund. Euro-area new virus cases were easing while US cases remained elevated, and US unemployment claims reached about 40 million since the crisis began.
A downward revision to US Q1 GDP and weak durable goods orders also weighed on the dollar.
A weaker dollar and firmer euro typically support dollar-priced commodities and make US exports more competitive in euro terms. The divergence in recovery paths between the US and Europe is a key driver for near-term currency moves.
ebury.comMay 29, 2020After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
