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Commentary says COVID-19 has crushed global supply chains and demand, with WTO suggesting trade could fall as much as 32% this year. Tanker rates spiked on record floating storage demand while container and dry bulk rates struggled.
A trade contraction of this size weakens demand for bulk commodities and feed ingredients, and bearish dry bulk rates reflect that softer global volume outlook.
scceu.orgscceuMay 25, 2020Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 102 past neutral macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -3.3% to +2.5%), and +1.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
