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A Reuters poll of 23 Mexican peso strategists and 25 Brazilian real strategists, taken May 4-6, 2020, expects both currencies to stay near end-April levels over the next month. The forecasts are about 24.29 pesos and 5.45 reais per US dollar, after the currencies suffered heavy losses over two months from the pandemic.
The poll points to stable Latin American currencies, so it gives little reason for a sharp change in the dollar cost of Brazilian or Mexican grain and meal exports. Downside risks from the pandemic and ratings downgrades remain, which could change that outlook.
financialpost.comReutersMay 7, 2020After 92 past neutral macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
