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The Brazilian real hit a record low of 5.89 per US dollar on May 12, 2020, and traded at 5.86 on May 15, a 10.6% depreciation over the previous month. Coronavirus cases are rising, the central bank cut the Selic rate to 3.00%, and political tensions are adding to capital outflows.
A weaker real lowers the dollar cost of Brazilian soybeans, corn and meal, which tends to support Brazilian export flows and pressure world prices. Analysts expect the currency to stay weak because feeble global demand for Brazilian commodities is also weighing on it.
focus-economics.comHannaMay 15, 2020After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
