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The Brazilian real weakened over recent weeks after the central bank cut the Selic rate to a record low of 2.25% and hinted at more cuts. The real was down about 6.6% over the prior month, with COVID-19 concerns and President Bolsonaro's positive test adding pressure.
A weaker real lowers Brazilian export costs for soybeans, corn and meal, which can cap US export competitiveness and pressure feed prices. Continued fiscal and political risk keeps downside pressure on the currency.
focus-economics.comHannaJul 13, 2020After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
