Wheat prices recovered after the May USDA report had pushed them down, as speculators covered shorts after Chicago soft wheat hit a two-month low. Strategie Grains cut its 2020/21 EU wheat forecast to 132.9 million tonnes and its EU corn estimate to 65.9 million tonnes.
Drought in parts of Europe and a Tunisian tender purchase also supported prices.
Lower EU wheat and corn crop estimates tighten European feed-grain supply, supporting prices, though the rebound is largely speculative and may be short-lived.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.