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Commonwealth Bank strategists say the Australian dollar now correlates more closely with Brent crude than with iron ore, as Australian oil and gas output has grown beyond iron ore output. Iron ore remains a key driver of the currency, the bank says.
If the Aussie tracks oil more closely, currency moves will increasingly follow energy prices, which affects Australian export values and diesel and freight costs. For feed buyers the signal is indirect.
poundsterlinglive.comJun 12, 2020Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 54 past neutral macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -2.8% to +2.5%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
