
USDA raised its 2020 US milk production forecast by 100 million pounds to 222.5 billion pounds on higher cow numbers. Price forecasts for 2020 cheese, butter and nonfat dry milk were raised on recent price strength, while the whey forecast was lowered.
A larger US milk supply forecast is bearish for dairy prices, though the raised cheese, butter and NDM price forecasts reflect firmer demand and point to support for dairy product values.
After 136 past neutral report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -0.7% to +0.5%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.