
Analyst Ray Grabanski said soil moisture in the Corn Belt is dropping at the fastest pace in decades, with almost no rain in recent weeks. Sorghum good-to-excellent ratings fell 7% to 48%, and corn fell 4% to 71%, producing the yield model's first significant loss of 2.17 bu/acre.
He compared the estimated losses to the 2012 drought year.
Falling crop ratings and a drought-driven yield model loss point to tighter corn and sorghum supplies, which is bullish for feed grain prices.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.