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Argentina's farm groups and growers objected to a government proposal that would link interest payments on restructured sovereign bonds to agricultural export volumes. The warrants would pay out when farm exports hit set thresholds, and growers fear they would keep export taxes at 33% for soy products and 12% for corn and wheat.
The government then paused debt talks on June 17.
If export taxes stay high to satisfy bondholders, Argentine farm selling and crush margins remain constrained, which can limit export supply and support soymeal and soyoil prices.
thecattlesite.comGlobal Ag MediaJun 18, 2020After 172 past bullish policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.7%), and -0.8% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 439 past neutral policy events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.2%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 137 past neutral policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.2%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
