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ING analysts note the weaker US dollar is narrowing the yield pickup on EUR-to-USD cross-currency swaps, which has shrunk from around 200bp pre-Covid to about 100bp. They expect the Fed to offer few specifics at its upcoming meeting.
This is a fixed-income and FX hedging analysis with little direct effect on feed commodity supply or demand; its only link is the broader dollar trend.
think.ing.comPadhraic Garvey, CFA, Benjamin SchroederJul 28, 2020After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
