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An AgriBusiness Global article says the coronavirus has had limited overall impact on fertilizer industry, though cashflow problems are emerging in some sectors. China's fertilizer production has recovered after lockdown cut output and disrupted rail, road and sea transport.
Hubei's plants, a key source of phosphoric acid, caused China to shift from a DAP exporter to a net importer.
China's recovering output and export capacity could ease phosphate supply tightness over time, but its shift to DAP imports supports global phosphate prices in the near term. Logistics disruptions remain a risk to supply timing.
agribusinessglobal.comMatt HopkinsJul 6, 2020After 40 past logistics events, DAP moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.9%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 64 past logistics events, Urea moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.0% to +2.3%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
