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The US Department of Commerce initiated countervailing duty investigations into phosphate fertilier imports from Morocco and Russia, petitioned by The Mosaic Company. Commerce will examine eight alleged subsidy programs for each country, including loans, tax programs and less-than-adequate-remuneration benefits.
Imports in 2019 were valued at about $729.4 million from Morocco and $299.4 million from Russia.
If Commerce and the ITC find subsidies and injury, duties would cut lower-priced phosphate imports and support US DAP and phosphate prices. Feed buyers could face higher costs for phosphate-based inputs over the coming months.
federalregister.govJul 23, 2020
trade.govJul 17, 2020Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 193 past bullish trade events, DAP moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -0.3% to +1.8%), and +1.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
