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Rabobank analysts forecast that global exportable dairy surpluses will keep expanding into 2018, with milk supply growing 2.2% year over year in the third quarter of 2017. They projected US Class III milk falling about $3 to $13.99 per cwt in the first quarter, with Class IV at $12.34.
A growing exportable surplus weighs on world dairy prices and pressures farm margins, reducing the cost of dairy-based feed ingredients. Weaker milk prices are expected to persist through the second quarter of 2018.
capitalpress.comCarol Ryan DumasJan 3, 2018After 273 past bearish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.4%), and -1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Rabobank's forecast of expanding global dairy surpluses and Class III falling about $3 to $13.99 in Q1 is a bearish supply and sentiment driver that could prompt futures selling.
Rabobank's forecast of expanding global surpluses and Class III falling about $3 sets a bearish supply-driven tone.
