Russia to intensify attacks on ships to block Ukraine’s grain corridor

After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.

• Jul 9, 2020Ukrainian farmers and grain exports hit hard by Russian blockade of Black Sea ports | Ukrainian Agrarian Confederation+0.7%
• Jul 9, 2020Ukraine Railway Seeks New Grain Routes as Russia Strikes Ports | Ukrainian Agrarian Confederation+0.7%
• Jul 27, 2026Black Sea grain trapped as Russia, Ukraine attacks continue | World Grain-2.0%
• Aug 25, 2026Grain exports stall as Ukraine steps up attacks on Russia+1.7%
• Oct 10, 2026Ukraine and Russia's grain harvest under threat amid Black sea attacks+3.7%

After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Jul 9, 2020Ukrainian farmers and grain exports hit hard by Russian blockade of Black Sea ports | Ukrainian Agrarian Confederation-5.2%
• Jul 9, 2020Ukraine Railway Seeks New Grain Routes as Russia Strikes Ports | Ukrainian Agrarian Confederation-5.2%
• Aug 1, 2026Russian attack on corn ship off Ukraine's Odesa kills 10-0.1%
• Oct 10, 2026Ukraine and Russia's grain harvest under threat amid Black sea attacks-0.7%
• Apr 26, 2023Ukrainian Navy Says Russia Refused To Allow Movement Of Four Ships In Black Sea Grain Deal-2.1%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.