Itafos reported that its Conda plant completed a reduced-scope turnaround in July with no environmental releases. It also disclosed a significant disruption in sulfuric acid supply from Rio Tinto's Kennecott smelter in Utah, which is delayed in restarting and is expected to be fully operational in about two months.
Sulfuric acid is a key input for phosphate processing, so reduced supply from the Conda plant could curb DAP output and support phosphate fertilizer prices.
After 31 past bullish logistics events, DAP moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.9%), and +1.6% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Sulfuric acid supply disruption from Kennecott delaying Itafos's Conda plant restart tightens North American DAP supply and supports prices.