
Market economists are forecasting the Australian dollar could reach US80 cents. The currency rose as high as US73.81 cents on Monday, its strongest level since December 2018, after the Federal Reserve's shift to a higher inflation tolerance weakened the US dollar.
Robust demand for Australian iron ore also supported the currency.
A weaker US dollar and a stronger Aussie tend to lift dollar-denominated commodity prices, which supports import costs for Australian feed buyers. The currency move is driven by Fed policy rather than grain supply.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.