
Mexico's economy contracted 17.1% in April to June from the prior quarter in seasonally adjusted terms, the sharpest contraction on record, and 18.7% year on year. The peso slipped as much as 0.3% while regional currencies weakened as the dollar firmed ahead of Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech.
A deep recession in Mexico, a major feed importer, weighs on demand for grain and meal, and a weaker peso raises the local cost of imports. Dollar strength ahead of the Fed event adds pressure on dollar-denominated commodity prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.