
The rand touched a one-month low of 14.16 per dollar on Thursday and South African stocks fell after the Fed unexpectedly brought forward its projections for interest rate hikes. Retail sales also fell 0.8% month-on-month in April.
Fed-driven dollar strength reduces the appeal of carry trades into emerging market currencies, raising the local cost of dollar-priced feed imports for South African buyers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.