CBOT wheat for September delivery rose 1.3% to $5.28-1/2 a bushel as rising ocean freight rates made US wheat more competitive from West Coast ports. Corn for December fell 0.2% and soybeans for November fell 1%, while Pro Farmer put Illinois corn yield at 189.4 bu/acre, below USDA's 207.
Higher ocean freight improves the export netback for US wheat and could draw Chinese interest, supporting wheat prices, while the below-USDA Illinois corn yield is bearish for corn.
After 283 past bullish logistics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.3%), and -0.1% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 359 past bearish logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 297 past bearish logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.8%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.