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EIA data showed U.S. crude stocks fell by 2 million barrels to 492.4 million in the week to September 25, against expectations for a rise. Distillate stocks, which include diesel, dropped 3.2 million barrels, and refinery runs rose.
A tighter distillate balance supports diesel prices, which raises fuel and freight costs for feed mills and grain logistics, though crude prices were little changed.
wxerfm.comSyndicated ContentSep 30, 2020After 109 past bullish report events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -3.3% to +3.9%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 56 past neutral report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.7% to +2.5%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
A larger-than-expected 3.2 million barrel draw in US distillate stocks, along with a crude draw, tightened the supply picture and could have supported ULSD futures, though it was published days before the Oct 5 move.
