
Beef exports fell 31% year over year in May and 33% in June, then rebounded sharply in July but remained 8% lower than last year. Exports to China rose 125.9% in July, while Mexico fell to fourth-largest market.
Weekly data suggests recovery continued in August.
A continued export recovery supports demand for U.S. beef and cattle, though volumes remain below last year's levels and the rebound is still incomplete.
After 65 past neutral trade events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.4%), and +2.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.