Wood Mackenzie reports that Henry Hub gas prices are now linked to global gas markets because US LNG feedgas has reached about 10 bcf/d, roughly 10% of US demand. The firm expects US LNG utilization to recover and Henry Hub prices to rise in 2021 as producers are incentivized to refill storage before winter 2021/22.
Rising LNG export pull ties US gas prices to Europe and Asia, and expected 2021 storage refill needs point to firmer Henry Hub prices. Higher US gas costs raise input costs for nitrogen fertilizer and ethanol production.
After 59 past bullish trade events, Natural Gas moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.7% to +10.6%), and +8.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.