Grupo Consultor de Mercados Agricolas (GCMA) cut its 2020 Mexico corn import forecast from 17.2 million to 16.75 million tonnes. The consultancy cited weaker-than-expected animal feed demand, which makes up nearly half of Mexico's yellow corn use, as Covid-19 slowed beef and pork production.
Imports for January to September were still up 3.6% year on year, with 93% of 2020 imports expected from the US.
Lower import demand from Mexico, the largest buyer of US corn, reduces export outflows and is mildly bearish for US corn prices. The effect is modest because year-to-date imports remain higher than last year.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.