
FranceAgriMer raised its forecast of French soft wheat exports outside the EU for 2020-21 to 6.85 million tonnes, for the second month in a row. Exports are still 49% below the record 2019-20 season, and China has bought about 1 million tonnes since July.
Stronger export expectations, mainly driven by Chinese buying, support wheat export demand. The volume remains well below last season, which limits the price effect.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.