Loading…
Malaysian palm oil futures hit their limit down after falling 10%, and the price limit was widened from 10% to 15% for the afternoon session. Traders blamed recession fears and heavy crude palm oil selling from Indonesia, which had raised its export quota to seven times domestic sales.
Indonesia's larger export quota adds supply to world vegetable oil markets while recession fears cut demand, which pressures palm and related oils lower. The limit move signals a sharp, policy-linked decline that buyers should expect to persist near term.
spglobal.comJul 6, 2022spglobal.comNurul Darni, Aditya KondalamahantyJul 6, 2022After 400 past bearish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 351 past bearish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Limit-down move on July 6 driven by recession fears and heavy Indonesian selling after the export quota was raised, hitting both demand sentiment and supply.
Limit-down 10% fall on July 6 driven by recession fears and heavy Indonesian CPO selling after the export quota was raised to seven times domestic sales.
