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Global freight markets have changed little over the past two weeks, with Capesize and Panamax vessels failing to hold a small rally. Panamax FFA contracts traded lower, with December near $10,400 and Q1 2021 just under $8,000.
Container logistics remain problematic, and shippers expect further rate increases of $200-400 per container.
Flat dry bulk freight keeps grain shipping costs steady, but expected container rate increases will raise the cost of exporting containerized feed ingredients. Thin holiday trading suggests limited near-term price moves.
grains.orgDec 3, 2020grains.orgDec 3, 2020grains.orgDec 3, 2020Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 285 past bullish logistics events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 48 past neutral logistics events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +2.5%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
