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Russia plans to double its wheat export tax to €50/t between 1 March and 30 June, and there is talk of further volume curbs into the new marketing season. Consultancy IKAR cut its 2020/21 Russian wheat export forecast to 37.5 million tonnes because of the tax.
European wheat prices paused after reaching a 7.5-year high.
A higher Russian export tax and possible volume curbs reduce supply from a major exporter, which supports global wheat prices and raises the cost of imported feed grains. Export pricing is uncertain until the policy is clarified.
farming.co.ukJan 22, 2021After 182 past bullish policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
