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ABN AMRO raised its US growth outlook after stronger Chinese growth and expected large fiscal stimulus. It also expects slightly higher US rates, a Fed taper starting in 2022, and a bottoming dollar, all of which it says are headwinds for commodities.
A firmer dollar and tighter policy later would weigh on dollar-priced grains and meals, partly offset by stronger cyclical demand.
abnamro.comMoutaz AltaghlibiJan 22, 2021After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
