
Indonesia, the world's biggest palm oil producer, is expected to increase refined palm oil exports after raising its export levy to a progressive system of $55 to $255 per tonne. LMC International's James Fry said the change gives Indonesian refiners an advantage over Malaysian rivals, while Malaysia becomes more competitive in crude palm oil exports.
He also expects crude palm oil prices to fall later in 2021.
Shifting export flows from Malaysian crude palm oil toward Indonesian refined products reshapes palm trade and could pressure prices as the year progresses. Buyers of palm-based feed ingredients should expect changing supply sources.
After 513 past neutral policy events, Palm Oil moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.