Ukrainian seaports shipped 4.07 million tonnes of grain in December 2020, down 17.7% from the prior month. Wheat shipments fell 2.3 times to 0.5 million tonnes and barley fell 5.7 times to 47 thousand tonnes, while corn held at 3.5 million tonnes.
A sharp drop in Ukrainian wheat and barley shipments signals tighter Black Sea export availability, supporting nearby prices for these grains.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 480 past neutral trade events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.