
Western Canadian oat prices have held firm, with high-delivered bids at $3.60 to $4.35 per bushel, but have seen little movement recently. AAFC forecasts 2021-22 oat acreage down 11% to 3.46 million acres and production down 16% to 3.9 million tonnes.
A forecast 16% drop in Canadian oat output tightens feed grain supplies, which could support oat and competing feed grain prices into spring.
After 52 past bullish report events, Oats moved a median -2.0% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -3.4% to +2.4%), and +0.7% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.