La Niña weakens, but influence likely to continue into autumn

After 224 past neutral weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and +0.4% over 20.

• Mar 4, 2024El Niño weakens but impacts continue+7.2%
• Sep 1, 2025La Niña may return but temperatures are likely to be above average-0.6%
• Dec 11, 2025La Niña to fade early next year, neutral Pacific conditions likely, U.S. forecasters say - AgCanada-0.3%
• Jun 13, 2024La Nina weather 65% likely to develop in July-Sept, says US forecaster | Reuters-2.1%
• Mar 6, 2025La Niña event is expected to be short-lived-0.0%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.